We are told that the much anticipated COVID-19 spike has arrived.
On 17 October, there were 785 new COVID in-patient admissions to hospitals in England, including 87 to hospitals in London. There were 8 COVID patients occupying beds at Guy’s and St Thomas’ (who care for 95,000 in-patients a year).
On 17 October, there were 62 COVID deaths in England – none in London.
The average mortality rate for heart and circulatory disease in the UK is around 460 a day (British Heart Foundation) – for cancer in the UK, around 450 deaths a day (Cancer Research UK). For the whole of the UK, this is a total of 335,000 a year.
There was a grand total of 616,000 deaths in the UK in 2018.
The deaths from COVID are negligible until age 60+ and rise steeply thereafter, being greatest at 80-90+.
THE AVERAGE AGE FOR DEATH FROM COVID IN THE UK IS 82.4 YEARS (ONS).
Data from NHS England up to 14 October show share of deaths for age as follows:
0-19 yrs 0.68%
20-39 yrs 0.71%
40-59 yrs 7.61%
60-79 yrs 38.1%
80+ yrs 53.4%
NB. 98% of deaths are with underlying conditions (including diabetes, lung disease, cancer, immunodeficiency, heart disease, hypertension, asthma, kidney disease and gastro-intestinal and liver disease).
THE UK LIFE EXPECTANCY IN 2017 WAS 81.16 years (World Bank).